The Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) put up an impressive performance in the September 22 gubernatorial election in Osun state emerging the party with the highest number of votes. However, it failed to secure the required margin to be declared the winner of the poll.
In this piece, NAIJ.com highlights five probable factors that hindered the opposition party’s chance of emerging the winner of the election at the first ballot.
1. Intra-party conflict
The crisis that rocked the PDP during the party’s gubernatorial election caused a serious damage. The emergence of Senator Ademola Adeleke as the party’s gubernatorial candidate tore the party apart. It took a serious intervention before Adeleke’s major contender in the primary, Akin Ogunbiyi, agreed to work with the party.
2. Defection/divided votes
While the intra-party conflict caused some major defections in the party, the exit of Iyiola Omisore, however, seems the most devastating political blow to the party. Omisore eventually contested the governorship election on the platform of the SDP and emerged third in the inconclusive election. With 128,049 votes, it is not debatable that the PDP would have won the election with a landslide if it had been able to keep Omisore under its fold.
3. PDP’s governorship candidate
The personality and public rating of the PDP’s candidate, Ademola Adeleke, could also be a factor here. No doubt, Adeleke has a good political value being a member of the respected Adeleke family in the state. Nevertheless, his somewhat scandalous reputation, e.g. the certificate scandal and the childish dances, also rubbed off on the party’s chances.
4. Incumbency power
The fact the PDP is an opposition party in Osun state also affected its chances. Defeating the ruling party, particularly in the Nigerian democratic style, is always a hard nut to crack. The ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) would definitely not give in easily.
5. Lack of widespread political strength across the state
Even though the PDP has the highest votes in the election, the APC won in more states. While the PDP won in 12 local governments while the APC won 16 local governments. The SDP had the remaining two local governments. So, if the PDP has a widespread control of the state, it would have won the gubernatorial election with the desired margin at the first ballot.
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In a previous report by NAIJ.com, Senator Iyiola Omisore who is the candidate of the Social Democratic Party stated his condition for supporting either Senator Ademola Adeleke of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) or Gboyega Oyetola of the All Progressives Congress (APC).
Adeleke of the PDP had 254,698 while the candidate of APC, Oyetola, polled 254,345 thereby forcing the election into a rerun after the Independent National Electoral Commission declared the result inconclusive.
Omisore said he would only support the candidate that agrees to pay salaries and pension.
Osun Election 2018: I will surely win this election - Senator Adeleke | NAIJ.com TV